2018 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AM PGA DFS Cash Game Preview
Fresh off a solid Waste Management Open, we move back to California up to Pebble Beach and the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, the last multi-course setup of the season (about time). We can’t use too many statistics because shot tracker is not available on the non-Sunday courses, Monterrey Peninsula and Spyglass Hill, so we’re going to have to use some course history and recent form. Let’s take a look at the WMO first and then move on to the four guys you should be targeting in cash:
Mr. Johnson was a heart attack waiting to happen on Friday, birding the last to make the cut. We gave up two top five cash options that had a chance to win on Sunday with Kuchar and Steele having solid weekends. Scott Piercy lost three strokes putting and missed the cut after a late run. He had his approach game on point, so although I won’t mention him in cash this week, his ownership will be low and he’s going to be an interesting play in GPP.
As far as the AT&T, I will place the caution flag out there right now with three rounds occurring before the cut happens, that I’m reigning back my exposure this week. There’s too many wildcards that come into play with an extra round on top of a multi-course setup. With that being said, let’s take a look at some cash options for the week:
Brandt Snedeker, $8100 – Sneds found it last week in terms of the putter and put together a solid weekend, finishing 23rd in Phoenix. He finally gained strokes with his approach game, signs he’s getting healthy. He ranks first in P4 350-400 yards scoring his last 12 rounds, a popular yardage this week. His course history is nuts with two wins and a four top-10s including a fourth place finish last year. If he gets the putter hot, he will be a factor come Sunday afternoon.
James Hahn, $8400 – Hahn has always been a wildcard, but has now made the cut in his last nine starts, including last week’s 11th place finish. His approach game has been solid his last four tournaments, gaining 13 total strokes and his putter got fiery last week. With an extra round to his advantage this week, Hahn is worth the play and his third place finish back in 2013 means he can play here.
Patrick Cantlay, $8900 – Do you know how many cuts Patrick Cantlay missed last year? None. He’s in the $8k range. That’s absurd. He lost six, SIX, strokes putting at the farmers and still made the cut. He is so strong off the tee that you can’t ignore his results. With putting being a high variance, he should be back to normal and that puts him in prime position to contend. After being out for two years, Cantlay returned at this even last year and made the cut. He’s going to go under owned and won’t make sense.
Patrick Reed, $7900 – Reed has made every cut here since 2013, and has three top 15s to boot. He’s going to be a good pivot from Kevin Chappell and Chez Reavie here and he has the stats to boot. Third in P4: 350-400 yards and fourth in strokes gained putting adds to his approach game. With a yardage at these courses being under 7,000 yards, the off-the-tee game won’t be important so Reed’s weakness is hidden.
Enjoy the week and get ready for the PGA to really start to ramp up with next week and Tiger at the Genesis. No football means prize pools with be growing and throw in more Tiger, the sky is the limit.