2018 Dell Technology Championship PGA DFS Preview
Hello Degens! Last week 10 of 13 picks made the cut, but Bryson was nowhere to be found, so no winner. For the year 72% of the picks have made the cut and 43% of the writeups have had the winner. Those numbers are 72% and 38% respectively all time, which believe it or not dates back to the 2016 Dean and Deluca aka Colonial.
On to week 2 of the Fed Ex Cup Playoffs and the Dell Technologies Championship. This event has been played at TPC Boston in Norton, MA for a long time, so we have some good course history. The course plays over 7,300 yards and is a par 71 with 3 par 5s. Past winners include Rory (2012 and 2016), Henrik (2013), Rickie who WD this week (2015) and Justin Thomas last year. The winning score is usually in the mid to high teens under par, so plenty of birdies shall be made this week.
First and foremost, it has been extra hot in the Northeast in recent days, so this course should play fast and hard. There is some rain potential Thursday, but probably just a thunderstorm or 2. According to windfinder, Thursday could see some gusts over 20 MPH in the morning and calming in the afternoon. The rest of the week looks good with no rain or crazy wind forecast. As of Wednesday morning, I lean PM/AM wave, but that is subject to change. Keep an eye on the wind forecast for Friday morning.
Dustin Johnson $11,600 – Not much of a surprise here. I think a win is coming for him soon, so I’m not jumping off now.
Tiger Woods $9,700 – If can figure out the putter then I think he will be toward the top of the leaderboard Sunday. This course won’t penalize him as much for being wayward off the tee.
Hideki Matsuyama $8,900 – The ball striking is very good. He just needs to find a short game.
Henrik Stenson $8,600 – He is a GPP only play for me because of injury concerns. Hit the ball very well over his last 24 rounds but can’t putt. Good pivot off what will probably be a much more popular Cantlay.
Billy Horschel $8,100 – If his tags keep rising, like they have so far this week, then I may lay off him. In cash it won’t matter, but in GPP I think he is a decent fade. He finally gained strokes putting last week en route to his 3rd place finish.
Stewart Cink $7,100 – I hope people lay off after his MC last week. In reality it was 1 really bad round and he bounced back nicely on Friday.
Brandt Snedeker $7,800 – Mr. 59 withdrew last week due back spasms. I’m a little concerned, but I think he makes for a good GPP play at what should be low ownership. He is worth it for me to risk on a couple lineups.
Gary Woodland $7,700 – Hitting the ball well, just hasn’t had the putter.
Chez Reavie $7,000 – He’s trending in the right direction, so I’m going to play him this week.
Chris Kirk $6,800 – Past winner here. Made the cut last week but played terrible on the weekend.
Russell Knox $6,900 – He is a course history play for me and his proximity numbers are pretty good recently.
Jason Dufner $6,500 – Another course history play that needs to finish high to get into next week.
Joel Dahmen $6,400 – At minimum price I will go back and hope that others don’t.
This is really the last week I will play any sort of cash games. Any of the guys above I will consider unless I say GPP only. Per the usual listen to the pod for more in depth stuff and hit me up on twitter or in SD Slack with any questions.
– Jesse @DFSGolfGods