2018 Fort Worth Invitational PGA DFS Preview
Hello Degens! Last week a birdie fest broke out after the rain and wind subsided. I didn’t anticipate that, but it’s part of a brand-new course and all the unknowns that come with it. For the week 10 of 13 picks made the cut, which brings the season total to 73% and all time stands at 73% as well. For the season 42% of the writeups have had the winner while all time stands at 37%. The all time is over a 2-year period, which reminds me I have been writing for SD for 2 years, time flies.
This week the PGA Tour heads 30 miles west from last week’s event to Colonial Country Club for the Fort Worth Invitational. Recent winners of this event include some big names like Kevin Kisner last year, Jordan Spieth (2016), Zach Johnson (2012, 2010) and Adam Scott (2014) as well as a mix of not so big names like Boo Weekley (2013), and Chris Kirk (2015). The course is a par 70 with 2 par 5s, 4 par 3s and 12 par 4s.
This Texas swing has been relatively mild so far and it looks like that trend continues this week. Winds, as of Tuesday afternoon, are forecast to be way down for Texas all weekend. Unless it changes drastically before lock I don’t see anything there.
This tournament’s name has changed quite a few times and unfortunately, we can no longer make fun of Dean and DeLuca and their $900 Caviar. So regular picks go time!
Webb Simpson $10,200 – There is literally nothing to argue against with his game right now. He is clicking on all cylinders and has great course history here. I do think he will be quite popular, but I wouldn’t worry too much about that.
Adam Scott $9,100 – He needs to finish well this weekend to make the US Open in a couple weeks. Two straight top 10s after he went to the longer putter. Again, probably chalky, but I will be loading up.
Brooks Koepka $9,200 – He has missed a cut in over a year. Obviously, he took some time off to heal the wrist and I think people are still worried about that, so I’m hopping on now at what I think will be decently low ownership.
Jimmy Walker $9,500 – 3 straight top 6s and 4 cuts made in 4 tries here.
Bryson Dechambeau $8,800 – Like I talked about on the Always Press DFS Pod he scores well for DK purposes. I’m hoping that the 2 straight MCs drive the CH guys off and we can get him a decently low ownership.
Steve Stricker $7,900 – 7th here last year and coming off 23rd at The Players. Hitting a ton of GIR and his lack of length won’t hamper him much here.
Adam Hadwin $7,600 – This price is too low in this field. Lot of made cuts in a row and very accurate off the tee.
Chez Reavie $7,600 – He is my pivot off Hadwin, if you are looking for one. He is a good play because he does well on these types of courses and the putter has been working better recently.
Nick Watney $7,300 – This price doesn’t factor his recent form as much as his course history. I’m disregarding the latter for the most part this. I’ll have him a bunch.
Chris Kirk $7,600 – 7 straight made cuts here and a past champion.
Ben Crane $6,900 – 2 made cuts here in his last 2 starts. He has played well during this Texas swing and this price is a huge decrease from last week.
Ted Potter Jr. $7,300 – Call me crazy, cuz that’s kind of what this is. Anyway, he finished 18th in his only appearance here in 2013 and has played much better in his last 3 tournies than after his win at Pebble. Also no one will be on him with the names in his price range.
Sean O’Hair $7,100 – He finished 2nd here in last year. WD from The Players, so I think this is a great bounce back spot and hopefully low ownership.
As you might be able to decipher above I will be going more balanced this week. I should’ve followed this strategy last week, but I went Spieth instead and he left his putter at home. Per the usual hit me up on twitter if I can be of any help and watch those Fanshare tags!
– Jesse @DFSGolfGods