2018 The Memorial Tournament PGA DFS Preview
Hello Degens! Last week 9 of 13 picks made the cut and Brooks made a solid run but couldn’t overcome red hot Justin Rose. I had way too much of the guys who missed the cut, but hopefully you were able to capitalize on a lower owned Koepka and make some money. For the year 73% of the picks have made the cut and 41% of the time the winner has been in the article.
On to one of my favorite tournaments of the year, the Memorial. This is tournament marks 2 weeks until the US Open and is often the last tune up for the best players before it starts. It is played at Muirfield Village, which is a Jack Nicklaus design in Dublin, Ohio.
The course is a typical par 72 that has your usual 4 par 5s and 4 par 3s. Last year Jason Dufner led most of the way, played the par 5s at -10 and was able to win by 3 shots on Sunday. In 2016 William McGirt won in a playoff over Jon Curran. Other Previous winners include David Lingmerth (2015), Hideki (2014) and Matt Kuchar (2013).
The weather this week, at least Thursday and Friday, could be a mess. It all depends what this tropical system moving North from the Gulf of Mexico does. Most likely ran will occur the first 2 days which will lead to some delays or just terrible conditions to play in.
As of this morning I don’t see much of an advantage for tee times, but I will continue to monitor it until lock.
On to the Memorial, presented by a shit ton of Nationwide commercials with that annoying song and Peyton Manning and Dale Jr, picks.
Dustin Johnson $11,300 – He missed the cut here last year, so maybe that will scare some people off. He finished 3rd in 2016 and has 6 top 10s in his last 10 starts on Tour.
Sometimes people fade the top priced guy because it is uncomfortable for the rest of the team, so let’s hope that happens this week and DJ brings his A game.
Justin Thomas $10,300 – I’m going with 2 of the guys up top because its not so bad to fit them in (not at the same time) with the value down low. I’ll have a lineup with DJ and one with JT. JT finished 4th here last year and has a win and 2nd in his last 5 tour starts.
Marc Leishman $9,000 – I’ll be curious to see if he is highly touted by weeks end or not. Either way he has great course history with 3 top 15s in his last 3 starts and is coming off the second in at the Byron Nelson.
Charl Schwartzel $8,200 – I saw where Mayo tweeted that he has placed a bet on him to win, so he might be chalkier than I would like, but can’t argue with 2 straight top 10s and 2 straight made cuts here with only one missed since 2011.
Adam Scott $8,600 – He had a disappointing week at Colonial, but maybe that will lower his ownership some. He played very well on Sunday and is still hitting the non-flat clubs great.
Emiliano Grillo $8,600 – His putter spit hot fire last week, which led him to the 3rd place finish. He still hasn’t missed a cut since August last year (knock on wood).
Tony Finau $8,100 – He has 2 top 11s in 3 starts here.
Chesson Hadley $7,900 – 6 straight top 20s on Tour.
Bryson Dechambeau $7,700 – 38th in his lone appearance here in 2016 and is coming off a lack luster performance last week. Hoping people lay off him and ownership is down.
Keith Mitchell $7,200 – He is quite volatile, but I’m willing to risk it at this price.
Kyle Stanley $7,600 – He is one of my favorite plays this week. Hoping he goes under the radar a bit, but if the putter is working he could equal or better last year’s 6th place finish.
Cameron Davis $6,900 – He won last week on the web.com and has been hitting a bunch of GIR on that tour. I wouldn’t play him a bunch but in big GPPs where he will be less than 3% most likely I think he is worth a lineup, just in case.
Ted Potter Jr. $6,800 – He has now made 4 straight cuts and had 2 very good rounds last week.
That’s all for this week. The field is loaded so it should be a very fun weekend. Hopefully the weather doesn’t damper the first 2 days very much. Per the usual hit me up on twitter with any questions.
– Jesse @DFSGolfGods