2018 MLB Team Totals Over/Unders
We are oh so close to some real baseball. With every team opening up the MLB season on Thursday (all on the same time for the first time in years), it is only natural that we at TheSportsDegens discuss some Team Total Over/Unders we like. There are some that may seem obvious, some that may not, but that’s what makes it fun. Some of the totals are from 5 Dimes, Bovada and OddShark (also lines have been changing so ask any questions if you have them). With that being said let’s see what the guys like this season.
Dawk (@Positive_Vig)- Top Overs:
Oakland Athletics Over 74.5 (-130) at 5Dimes
I like what Oakland is doing and while the loss of Cotton hurts I still like the makeup of this team…the over is juiced big so maybe wait on it. This team is without a doubt a ,500 ball club and I think the addition of piscotty only helps. I’m expecting a huge year out of Matt Olson.
Philadelphia Phillies Over 78.5 (-105) at 5Dimes
I expect the Phils to take a big step forwards this season. I think they overpaid for Arrieta but I liked what I saw out of Aaron Nola last season. Their pitching is pretty good and they have a lot of youth on their roster…their offense has a ton of young talent with Altherr, Hoskins, and Williams to name a few. Getting this number at reduced juice is a bargain in my opinion.
San Francisco Giants Over 83.5 (+105) at 5Dimes
San Francisco Giants Over 83.5 wins The Giants made a slew of moves this offseason, most notably the addition of Evan Longoria and Andrew McCutchen, whom I think will be key this season. Their offense is pretty damn good and their starting pitching is anchored by Bumgarner and Cueto…not bad. Needing them to get to 84 wins at plus money is well worth a look.
Chicago Cubs Under 94.5 (-115) at Bovada
While the Cubs starting pitching got a boost with the signing of Darvish and Chatwood, their bullpen isn’t as strong as it was a year ago. I think the Cardinals and Brewers are going to be right on the heels of the Cubs for the NL Central, and I think the disvision is really up for grabs. I see the Cubs possibly winning 92 games at the most.
Pittsburgh Pirates Under 73 (-110) at Bovada
The Pirates are rebuilding, and you have to wonder what the mood is in Pittsburgh these days. The Cubs, Brewers and Cardinals will beat up on the Pirates, and don’t forget about the Reds, who have a ton of youth and quite honestly a lot more talent than Pittsburgh. It’s going to be a long year for the Bucs.
Los Angeles Dodgers Under 95.5 wins Under 95.5 (-110) at 5Dimes
Pretty simple here, I think the Giants, Rockies, and Padres are going to be more competitive than last year, and I think Arizona will be extremely competitive. I just can’t see them replicating the output from last season. You have to consider the drama in the clubhouse and you also have to expect a bit of a hangover from last season’s World Series loss. The Dodgers will be good, but not as good as last season.
Top 3 Over
- NYY over 94.5
That offense is filthy good. If the rotation can be decent with no major injuries, they should hit the 100 wins. The bullpen is also top notch.
- Wash over 92.5
Weak division, decent overall team. I have them hitting that number and winning the NL east again.
- Arz over 85.5
Enough firepower in that lineup and rotation to overtake the Dodgers at the top of the NL West. They should get over 90 wins without a problem.
Top 3 Under
- SD Under 69.5
Young team with some nice pieces, but in that division it will be hard to repeat that 71 wins from last season. I have them in the low 60’s.
- Tor under 81
Boston and New York will dominate the AL East. Lots of locker room distractions (FA to be Donaldson might get traded). I have them around the 75 win mark.
- NYM under 81
The Mets are either winning 70 or 90. On paper, they have a pretty good team, but I don’t have them hitting that .500 mark. If the rotation stay healthy all year, they might get close to that 81 win.
Top 3 Overs:
1) LAD O 96.5
2) MILW O 84.5
3) SDP O 69.5
Top 3 Unders:
1) CLE U 94.5
2) PHI U 75.5
3) TB U 77.5
Adam Burke (@SkatingTripods)-
Top 3 Overs:
Athletics, Blue Jays, Diamondbacks
Top 3 Unders:
Rangers, Astros, Royals
MLB Betting Guide: https://www.bangthebook.com/MLBBettingGuide.pdf
Also on Amazon in e-book form: Link
Bubba (@bdentrek)- (from OddShark)
Marlins O64.5- The Marlins are going to be bad, really bad…….but this bad? Nope. There offense is actually somewhat decent, at least 1-5 when Realmuto gets back. The pitching is bad, no sugar coating that, but they do have arms like Urena, Straily and Chen (when back from DL) that can at least give some quality starts. There’s the old adage that teams win 60 games, lose 60 games and then what they do with the other 60 is what separates them from the rest…..the Marlins can win 5 of those last 60.
Twins O82.5- I am insanely high on the Twins this year. In 2017 they made an amazing turn around from a 100+ loss 2016 season and they should only get better. The major question they had in 2017 was their starting rotation and they took care of that this offseason by adding Jake Odorizzi and Lance Lynn. They now have a starting 5 that can only go out and win a game when needed or at worst keep your young, high powered offense in games. The Twins will be better than .500, I have them as a Wildcard Team and that means the over is a play I love.
A’s O74.5- For those that checked in last year you know I like to take a gamble on a team that’s on the border of being really good or suspect. The A’s meet that criteria for me this season. Their pitching does have question marks, but they are young and have some tremendous upside that may dazzle many (losing AJ Puk does suck). The part that makes me really love the A’s is their offense. The power combo of Davis/Chapman/Olson is insanely nice. Give me the A’s over and watch out, they may be like the Rays last year that make things very interesting.
Rockies U82- Sure, the offense is good, it should always be good. Sure, they spent a ton of money on their bullpen, again, but that doesn’t do it for me. To me they over achieved last year, and in large part that was due to some over achieving starting pitching. I don’t see the pitching, outside of Jon Gray, holding on and making this team a .500 team this year.
Astros U96.5- I love the Astros this year, heck picked them to make it back to the World Series on the Around the Bases with Bubba & Mo Season Predictions…..I still don’t think they win 97 or more wins. They are gonna be good, but the World Series hangover can be real. They will have some serious ups and downs and the fact that the Angels and A’s should be much better this year will take away some of those cake walk wins. They’ll win 92 or so games, they will win the AL West, they just won’t go over 96.5 games.
Cubs 94.5- The Cubs fell off a bit last year and I don’t see that as a fluke. Sure they spent a ton of money on their pitching staff this offseason, but there are still questions there. Does Lester get back to Lester form even though hes getting old? Can Yu Darvish not tip pitches and stay healthy? Was Tyler Chatwood just bad because of Coors? So on and so on. They also will go into the season with Brandon Morrow as their closer, a guy that before last season was one of the more injury prone pitchers in baseball. The Cubs opening day roster looks good, but there is very little depth and that could really hurt them. Plus, the Cardinals and Brewers will be even better than last year which will make it very tough for the Cubs to get to over 94.5 wins.
There you have it. The 2018 MLB Team Total Over/Unders. Let us know which ones you like this year and more importantly lets PLAY BALL!!!!!