2018 RBC Canadian Open PGA DFS Preview
Hello Degens! Last week was quite the golf tournament with the hottest man in golf coming out on top, exactly as it should be. 37 straight bogey free holes is amazing. For the week the picks went 9 of 13 in making the cut and we had the winner on there. For the season 72% of the picks have made the cut and 43% of the time we’ve had the winner. If you want some in depth analysis of last week and some other takes listen to the Always Pressing PGA DFS podcast on all formats.
On to the RBC Canadian Open in Oakville, Ontario. The Jack Nicklaus designed Glenn Abbey golf course plays host for the third straight year. The course is right around 7200 yards and a par 72 with 4 par 5s. This tournament has moved around a bit but was played here in 2013 when Snedeker won. Jason Day won in 2015 and Jhonattan Vegas has won this tournament the last 2 years.
The weather this weeks looks very good, so I won’t be worrying much about it. Not a bad idea to keep an eye on the forecast.
On to the picks.
Dustin Johnson $11,700 – Not a big surprise here at all. He’s still DJ even though the missed the cut last week. His ownership is either going to be super chalk or 15-20%. He is the top price and his ownership was depressed last week from what everyone thought it would be, so I lean the latter there. Either way I think he comes in pissed off and is liable to lap the field.
Bubba Watson $9,600 – He’s made the cut the last 3 times he has played this tournament and all 3 of those years Glen Abbey was host. Has a second place finish in 2015, so I look for him to finish better than his 42nd last year. He is a fickle golfer, but when he likes a place he finishes well.
Ian Poulter $9,100 – His 2nd round last week to miss the cut was epically bad, but this is a totally different venue, so I am going to put that out of my mind and he probably will too. 3rd here last year in his only start and playing much better golf this year.
Charley Hoffman $8,700 – Lost in a playoff here last year, 7th in 2015 and 4 straight top 20s on tour.
Joel Dahmen $7,400 – He is second in my model this week and coming off 3 straight top 15s. I hope his MC here last year scares a few away but am not banking on that. Either way I’m not going to be scared off by ownership this week.
Chris Kirk $7,600 – He is third in my model. 3 of 3 in made cuts. Proximity numbers are good.
Harold Varner III $7,100 – 2 straight top 6 finishes on tour. He is underpriced so grab and go.
J.J. Spaun $7,200 – He has been scoring a lot DK points and his proximity numbers have been good recently. 3 straight made cuts on tour.
Bronson Burgoon $7,100 – Coming off the missed cut at The Open but was playing very well on “easy” courses here in the states the last couple of weeks.
Sam Ryder $7,100 – Has finished 7th and 2nd in his last 2 starts and hit 84% GIR last week.
Stewart Cink $7,100 – Just a stupid low price for Stewgoat.
Hudson Swafford $6,800 – This is a hunch play for me. His recent form isn’t good at all but wasn’t very good coming into this tourney last year and made the cut. In fact, he’s 3 for 3 in made cuts here. Anyway, his course stats are what intrigue me and he should be below 1% owned. I also like him for a first round leader bet.
Blayne Barber $6,700 – 2 straight made cuts here and 5 in a row on tour.
So that is all for this week. As you probably tell I’ll be heavy stars and scrubs this week and I doubt I’ll be the only one with this wonky pricing from DK. Anyway, hit me up on twitter with any questions and I’ll be in and out the Sports Degens Slack Chat all week.
– Jesse @DFSGolfGods