Aloha Degens! Last week DJ was able to blitz the field to a win at the Tournament of Champions. It wasn’t a good week for me from a DFS perspective because I had way too much Steele. Fortunately, this week we get the first cut of 2018 at the Sony Open.
The Sony Open has been played for years on the island of Oahu at Waialae Country Club. The course is short at just over 7,000 yards and is a par 70 with 2 par 5s. Scoring can still go very low as last year Justin Thomas fired -27 for the week with a 59 on Thursday. Other previous winners include Fabian Gomez (2015), Jimmy Walker (2013 and 2014) and Russell Henley (2013).
If you are new to PGA DFS then you must experience your first cut sweat on Friday. If you thought PGA DFS twitter was insane last Thursday wait until a super chalky guy is close to getting cut. It’s almost as good as winning a lot of money on Sunday. Go follow @cutsweats on the Twitter. I will play both cash and GPP game types this week.
The weather this week looks like it could be ideal with low winds and temps in the 80s. This could change but I’m not considering any angle with the weather at this point.
Ride the wave into some picks.
Jordan Spieth $12,000 – He is most likely going to be very popular this week as he is the best golfer in this field. He had a terrible opening round at the TOC which really killed his hopes of competing. If I am playing a lot of lineups, then I would probably have quite a bit of him but hedge with a percentage without. If I am playing 3 lineups, then I would have 2/3 with him.
Marc Leishman $11,100 – He played very well 3 of 4 days last week. If his tags are up on Fanshare (top 3ish) then I might fade him completely, but if he is outside that then I will play him. Knock on wood he hasn’t missed a cut here in his last 7 starts. Cash worthy, but I don’t think you have to go this high for cash.
Tony Finau $8,900 – I really like Tony this week and might OAD him. He hasn’t finished outside the top 26 in his last 6 starts on Tour. I expect him to have a great year.
Daniel Berger $8,700 – I think this is a great price for someone of his caliber in this field. His course history isn’t great, but I will consider for cash.
Xander Schauffele $8,600 – His recent stats aren’t that great so he won’t be high on most people’s models. Mix that with his missed cut here last year and you could get him at low ownership. Watch those Fanshare tags, if he is low then I’ll be all over him.
Gary Woodland $7,800 – His last 3 starts here: 6th, 13th, 3rd. I will have plenty and he will more than likely be on my cash team.
Jason Dufner $7,300 – He is way mispriced in my opinion. His putter was hot last week, so if he continues that then he will be able to contend for the win this week. Sometimes we just take the free squares that DK gives and move on. He will make a lot of my teams including cash.
Emiliano Grillo $7,900 – He had a very disappointing 2017. This is a gut play for me and I think he bounces back in a big way this year. GPP only for now.
Stewart Cink $6,800 – Another complete misprice/free square by DK. He will be popular, but I will not fade in cash and he will be on a lot of my GPP teams.
Benjamin Silverman $6,800 – I talked at length on the pod we did about the new guys on Tour about him. He is a short knocker who putted very well during the fall swing. He is a great GPP dart IMO and you can use him to pivot of Stewie Chalk.
Harold Varner III $6,700 – If you look at the names around him then you will quickly realize that he is mispriced too. He has a bunch of cuts made in a row, but missed here last year. Another great pivot off Stew for GPPs.
Satoshi Kodaira $6,800 – Japanese Tour player who won his last time out. Use very lightly but will be super low owned.
Adam Schenk $6,600 – Web.com guy who made 2/3 cuts on the fall swing. Use lightly as well, but will be next to not owned by anyone.
So that is all for this week. I’m super excited for the first cut in a while. I more than likely won’t be writing up next week’s tournament as I will be on vacation, but I’ll try and tweet some of my favorite plays out. Per the usual hit me up on twitter with any questions. DMs are open.
– Jesse @DFSGolfGods