2018 WGC Mexico PGA DFS Preview
Hola Degens! So last week was a train wreck for the picks. Only 5 of 13 got through the cut, which was good for my worst week ever. Golf has a way of keeping your feet grounded, which is exactly what happened after hitting 100% through the cut with a winner 2 weeks ago. I did say that JT and Noren were my picks up top, but they weren’t official. Hope y’all at least tailed those two. For the year 72% of the cuts have made the cut with 57% of the writeups having the winner.
On to WGC Mexico, live from Mexico obviously. Club de Golf Chapultepec in Mexico City, Mexico plays host for the second year. Last year DJ was the maiden winner. This course is a little over 7,300 yards, but is located 7,500 feet above sea level, so it will play a lot shorter. Course history (last year) will play well this week IMO. Guys who experienced this deal last year will have a little edge over the guys who are first timers.
Weather looks great this week. No issues there as of Tuesday afternoon as I write this.
I won’t be playing any cash games this week because it is a no cut event with only 64 starters. There is also the potential for a WD or 2. WGC events are notorious for this. In my GPP lineups I am going to try and find some low owned guys by using all the Fanshare tools. I will also try and leave at least $500 on the table. Generally, 75% of lineups out there will use at least $49,600 in salary.
Justin Thomas $11,500 – It is hard to fade DJ as the defending champion and I will have exposure to him. I will likely have more JT because I think his ownership will be lower coming off the win. I’ve heard quite a bit of talk of this course playing like the Genesis Open because of grass types and JT finished 9th there this year. He also makes a ton of birdies, which is great in a no cut event.
Bubba Watson $8,900 – More of an ownership angle/hunch for me. He won the Genesis 2 weeks ago. DJ won it in 2017 then won this event. DJ’s ownership last year wasn’t even top 10 highest. I think there is a chance he goes over looked or gets fade calls and so I think the makes for a great GPP play.
Tyrell Hatton $8,600 – Call me crazy but I am going back after the missed cut last week. He finished 10th here last year and had some good form coming into the Honda. I think most will avoid because of the names around him and last week.
Adam Hadwin $7,500 – Another guy who played well at the Genesis. He didn’t play here last year, but I like what I saw a couple weekends ago.
Matt Kuchar $7,600 – Pretty low price for a guy of his caliber. Form is very average for him, but he did finish 20th here last year.
Kiradech Aphibarnrat $7,300 – He did make the cut last week and then went into full DGAF mode on the weekend. He can score on any golf course and he probably won’t get the touting that he did last week.
Tier 3 – I probably won’t dip down here much, but if you are these are the guys I would prefer
Dean Burmester $6,900 – Euro player who played the Dubai par 5s at -15 for the week. Par 5 scoring this week will be big. Finished 22nd that week.
Jorge Campillo $7,000 – I’d prefer Dean, but he might be worth a lineup or 2.
That is all for this week. Since the field is only 64 I’m going to cut down the picks. Be sure to listen to the @alwayspressdfs pod on all your usual sites including iTunes. Per the usual hit me up on twitter, DMs are open. Or we can add you to our slack channel and we can chat/tilt together in there.
– Jesse @DFSGolfGods