Hello NASCAR degens! The season is winding down quickly as there are only two weeks remaining before the shootout at Homestead. And tensions are running high after the scuffle between Denny Hamlin and Chase Elliott last week. Kyle Busch walked away unscathed with his ticket stamped for a chance at the championship while the battle behind him is very tight.
This week the series moves just down the road from me here in Texas and back to an intermediate track. I was fortunate enough to meet some of the Cup drivers this week and hopefully my talk with Martin Truex has him motivated to perform this week. He’s my top ranked driver heading into the race and he’s the top priced again this week. But I feel it’s well deserved.
I think DK has mixed it up a bit as there are some salaries out there based more off of current form v. track style/history and vice versa. I see some things I like initially but will pay attention to qualifying and all three practices to make my LUs.
Martin Truex Jr. $11,000: I’m back on the Truex train heading into Texas. Need to avoid a disaster to not advance to Homestead in two weeks but rather than be conservative, he wants to lock up a spot. Dominant history at intermediate tracks and has won four of the L5. Clear favorite heading into the weekend.
Kevin Harvick $9,800: Has been extremely good at Texas but I still don’t know if he has the speed to contend with Truex and the Toyotas. Worst finish is L6 is a 10th with two runner ups.
Kyle Busch $10,600: All the momentum in the world with three races left. Locked into Homestead but he won’t slow down. Has finished in the T5 in five of L6 with a win in April ‘16. Deserves to be discussed in the same sentence as Truex as favorite this week.
Chase Elliott $9,100: Now being pegged as the People’s Champion after last week’s run in with Denny Hamlin. He’s going to win a race soon and when he gets over the hump, the floodgates could open. Three career starts at Texas and three T10s with a 4th here last year. Also has four T5s in L5 in intermediate races with two runner up finishes.
Ryan Blaney $8,500: My sleeper pick for the win going into this weekend and I love the price. He started 2nd in the spring and led nearly 150 laps. After the first practice, he also looks to have speed again this weekend. I’ll be heavy here.
Denny Hamlin $8,800: I don’t understand this decrease in price. It may be because of his recent results at Texas but he’s also a two time winner here. At intermediate tracks, he also has six straight T5s. He better keep an eye on the 24 on the track though.
Chris Buescher $6,600: Trending in the right direction at intermediate tracks. He has five T20s in L6, including a 6th at Kansas two weeks ago. Would argue he deserves to be above a couple drivers above him.
Ty Dillon $6,900: Two Cup career starts at Texas resulted in a 20 and 17. Would like to have some price differential potential out of him as a play at this price. He’s been a solid choice all year and is a great option in this tier.
Aric Almirola $6,200: Running well recently and the salary stays low. Survived Talladega for a T5, followed up with a 9th at Kansas and last week had a solid run at Martinsville for 18th. Running mid pack should be expected out of him with more upside than others in the price range.
Boogity boogity boogity!
*Weekly disclaimer: This was written before qualifying. Be sure to make note of any car/engine changes and qualifying position as value may change once starting position is established.