Welcome back NASCAR degenerates! Two races are down in the Chase and Toyota is continuing to show their dominance with the win by Kyle Busch last week. Been treading water the last couple weeks and ready to make a big splash. Hoping this week proves to be that week with some noticeable adjustments to salaries.
I wasn’t able to get the column written when I normally do this week so this article was written after qualifying. Therefore the first practice and qualifying results were taken into account. Things could change after the practices tomorrow but might as well use the info available at this time. Let’s go.
Martin Truex Jr. / Kyle Busch $11,000: It’s obvious these two guys are the class of the field right now. Both prices at 11K so you’re gonna have to choose one to build around if that’s your choice. They’ve each won the last two weeks, they’re starting 1-2 (Truex with the pole) and they finished 1-2 here last year (Truex won). I can’t argue against building around either guy but my current pick is Truex by a nose.
Kyle Larson $10,200: The battle behind these two is pretty close as well but I give the edge to Larson over Harvick $10,300, especially at this track. In 7 races he’s averaging an 8.2 with three runs inside the T3. If you’re saving some cap room and avoiding the two faves, this isn’t a bad way to start.
Matt Kenseth $9,500: Fastest in the first practice and starting 4th. Three time winner here and six of the last eight races has finished in the T10. Running T5 for most of the day won’t be surprising.
Jimmie Johnson $9,400: Expected him to be above Kenseth but will take the discounted price in my mind. Eleven – 11 – time winner here, including this past spring. If you’re looking to be unique, starting with Jimmie is a great place to start.
Chase Elliott $9,200: Three career races, three T5s. He has finished 3-3-5 the past two years. Could easily be low owned given the guys at the same price point. Definitely worth a look this weekend and possible sleeper for the win.
Jamie McMurray $8,100: Could be a good time to use McMurray with his starting position of 26. Normally a good qualifier and slides back a bit, this sets up from good place diff with his average T15 run. Finished 7th here in June.
Daniel Suarez $6,900: Starting 5th so place differential could easily be negative. But he compensates for that by being fast, finished 6th here earlier this year, and a T10 run is expected. Great price.
Michael McDowell $5,700: Top 20s in his last two starts at Dover but hadn’t had better than 38th in his previous 8. His equipment gets a lot of that credit and he’s benefited this year. He’s looking for a ride next year and feel he’s capable of a similar T20 finish to help his resume.
Matt Dibenedetto $5,000: Starting 40th and far from the worst car/driver here. Good option for those building heavy at the top.
Will have some deeper analysis on my Twitter page this weekend after the practices tomorrow. Going to dig into LU combos and where I’ll be putting my exposure. Good luck to all this week.
Boogity boogity boogity !