Welcome NASCAR degenerates! Homestead is in our sights with only two weeks remaining in the 2017 season. Last week, Kevin Harvick flexed the muscle that most of us were expecting going into the year and locked up his seat for next week’s championship race in the finale. Kyle Busch wasn’t a factor after some trouble on the first lap and Keselowski was able to overcome to tough out a good finish. I expected Blaney and Kurt Busch to be up front more than they were and it cost me some significant points in that price level.
With three of four spots locked up for next week’s race, I’m going to focus on those guys fighting for the last spot and who I think will be advancing. Let’s take a look.
Kevin Harvick $10,000: Has owned Phoenix and after last week’s win, a trip here could do wonders for him. Another win going to Homestead could make him the favorite. In L8, he has 5 wins, a runner up, and over 1,000 laps led. Bad news? His worst finish in those races was in March. Good news? It was a 6th.
Martin Truex $11,300: All of the attention has been off of Truex with the Busch and Harvick wins the L2 races and another cut coming this week. His finishes in both of those races? Runner up in both. Only one T10 at Phoenix in the L7. Not one of his better tracks but has proven previous performances do not matter much this year.
Kyle Busch $11,100: As mentioned, early trouble kept him away from the front last week. He fought back to give himself a chance to be in contention, but a flat tire led to his 19th place finish. He’ll be wanting to have a strong day at Phoenix to have some momentum going to Homestead. In his L4 here, he has 4 T5s with over 100 laps led here in March. Expect him to return to form and be at the top Sunday afternoon.
Denny Hamlin $8,900: My personal pick for advancing to Homestead for a chance at the championship. Five straight races with finishes inside the T7. Has a little work to do to pass Keselowski but that can easily be erased with stage points. Four straight T10s at Phoenix. Expect him to be at the front most of the day and battling for the last spot at Homestead.
Chase Elliott $9,300: One of the drivers that could clinch with a win and was fastest in the first practice. Led over 100 laps here in March and will do what it takes to win and advance to Homestead. The smoke has settled since the incident with Hamlin but I think we’re all hoping for a green, white, checker restart with Hamlin/Chase leading the pack just to see what happens.
Ryan Blaney $8,200: Feel like Texas was his best place for a win but could also win on points if things fall the right way. Three races here and 2 T10s. While I’m a fan of his and think his future may be the brightest of the young guns, I don’t think this is his time yet. This price is pretty good for him from a DFS standpoint and he’ll still be mixed in but not as heavy as last week.
Matt Dibenedetto $5,500: Slightly undervalued IMO with a 20 and 25 in 2 of L3 races here. Has 3 T25s in the L3 races he’s finished this season. It’s avoiding the trouble that seems to be the determining factor in a respectable finish.
Cole Whitt $5,300: Three straight finishes inside the T30. At this price, that’s pretty good if there’s not a negative place differential in the double digits.
Boogity boogity boogity!!
*Weekly disclaimer: This was written before qualifying. Be sure to make note of any car/engine changes and qualifying position as value may change once starting position is established