Fantasy Football Usage Leaders Thru Week 4
RUNNING BACK TARGET LEADERS THRU WEEK 4:
DION LEWIS, RB TENNESSEE TITANS:
- Out-snaping Derek Henry 161-105
- Played 68% of the offensive snaps, to Henry’s 39% in Week 4.
- Lewis has run 86 routes (21 targets) in the passing game, which is 14th in the NFL amongst Running Backs. Henry has 30 routes (4 targets).
- Titan O-Line is Top 10 most efficient this season (88.1%) and top 5 in least pressures allowed (28).
Don’t forget how good he was down the stretch last season (65 Touches, 51 Fan Pts Wk 16 and 17) and how great he could be behind a solid offensive line, like the Titans. The Titans are a run first offense and Lewis should be on display. He could become a solid RB 2 rest of season and could be a cheap trade target for a player who still has upside.
RUNNING BACK TOUCH LEADERS THRU WEEK 4:
CARLOS HYDE, RB CLEVELAND BROWNS:
- 87 Touches (4th in NFL)
- 83 carries (1st in NFL)
- 285 Yards (6th in the NFL)
- 3.4 Yards per Carry (26th in NFL)
- 6 Targets (48th in NFL) 4 Receptions (51st in NFL)
The Browns Offensive Line currently ranks 8th in overall efficiency (88.3%) and 11th in least pressures allowed (35), but his 3.4 yards per carry proves he’s grinding for yardage. This much volume strictly in the run game can not bode well for a veteran and a player with an injury history.
NICK CHUBB, RB CLEVELAND BROWNS:
Flashed his elusive potential last week with 3 carries for 105 yards and 2 touchdowns. Now I know we can’t get excited for this big play fantasy production, but it may be time to start fading Hyde as Chubb will start to see more involvement. If you’re the Hyde owner, I would try to acquire Chubb if you don’t already have him and he’s not available on the waiver wire. The young rookie could be a league winner behind a good line with fresh leagues when Hyde eventually does break down. It’s also Baker Mania, so that could only help.
WIDE RECEIVER TARGETS THRU WEEK 4:
COREY DAVIS, WR TENNESSEE TITANS:
- 39 targets (9th in NFL)
- 13 Targets Week 1 (6TH in NFL)
- 15 Targets Week 4 (1st in NFL)
About 72% of Corey Davis’ targets came in Week 1 and Week 4 with Marcus Mariota on the field. Davis has only run 125 routes in the passing game (51st in NFL), but is Top 12 in Yards per Route Run (2.50) and is being targeted on 31.2% of his total snaps, which is 1st in the NFL. The graphic says he’s in some elite company:
Through Week 4 and only 1 ½ games of a healthy Marcus Mariota, Tennessee is only passing 52% of the time, which is 31st in the league. Corey Davis has made the most of his limited opportunities and could be in for a massive season with Mariota fully healthy and sleeper rookie Taywan Taylor (8% owned), who accounted for 63% of the offensive snaps Week 4, piling up 9 Targets.
Davis has the potential to be a High End WR 2 in an offense that has historically been run heavy (Bottom 10 Team Passing % since 2016). He could be a relatively cheap, season-long return on investment. Let’s hope Mike Vrabel and Matt LaFleur will free Corey Davis in Nashville.
WIDE RECEIVER FANTASY POINTS THRU WEEK 4:
COOPER KUPP, WR LOS ANGELES RAMS:
- 156.3 NFL Passer Rating when Targeted (1st in NFL)
- 10 Red Zone Targets (4th in the NFL)
- 26 Targets from the Slot (4th in NFL)
- Targeted on 26.3% of snaps from the Slot (2nd in NFL)
With all this slot usage, he is still averaging 14.5 yards per catch, which is 10th in the NFL among all wide receivers. He has the 6th most fantasy points in the NFL and is 2nd only to Michael Thomas for Fantasy Points per Opportunity.
I’m really not sure what the market price for Kupp is right now, but you may still be able to grab him for a low end RB 2 or an underperforming running back, like Kenyan Drake paired with a WR3. I think this kid has massive upside and is still blooming in this high powered Rams offense. There are a lot of mouths to feed in LA and owners get scared off by the presence of Robert Woods (97% OFF snaps) and Brandin Cooks (97% OFF snaps). Kupp (98% OFF snaps) is better than both of them and will finish the year as a Top 10 Fantasy Wide Receiver. If you are desperate for receiver help, but may have some running back depth, Kupp could be High End WR 2 rest of season with potential for more.
DEFENSIVE COVERAGE LOSERS THRU WEEK 4:
GREEN MEANS GO. These defensive backs are getting lit up in coverage and creating easy fantasy production for most who line up across from them:
- 1.Super Bowl hero Malcum Butler is struggling with life outside of New England, being torched for 397 total yards and 4 touchdowns. He will line up across from Kelvin Benjamin this weekend in Buffalo and may be worth an extended look in DFS.
- 2.Brian Pool is the primary slot corner for the Atlanta Falcons and is currently allowing a 137.2 QB rating when playing slot coverage, which is the 3rd worst in the NFL among slot corners. In fact, he is 2nd in most targets against (21), 2nd in receptions against (17), 6th in yardage (156) and 1st in TDs (3). Juju Smith Schuster will keep Pool busy in Pittsburgh this weekend and is $7,500 right now on DraftKings. Big Game Juju.
- 3.Amari Cooper versus Casey Hayward, CB LAR last 3 games in shadow coverage:
- •4 Targets on 1 Rec, 11 Yards, 0 TD on 76% Routes Shadowed
- •1 Target on 1 Reception, 7 Yards, 0 TD on 80% Routes Shadowed
- •3 Targets on 1 Reception, 28 Yards, 0 TD on 84% Routes Shadowed
Hayward is getting a lot of run this season, allowing a 140.8 QB Rating to opposing Wide Receivers. While Cooper has been historically bad against Hayward, he may be worth a look this week against a struggling Chargers secondary. In 2 games this season, Amari Cooper is averaging 19 fantasy points on 10.5 targets. His other 2 games were against an elite Los Angeles Rams secondary and an up and coming Miami Dolphins coverage unit led by Xavien Howard. Amari Cooper may be worth a look in Week 5.
DEFENSIVE COVERAGE LEADERS THRU WEEK 4:
- 1.Tre’Davious White is a pure lock down cover corner for the Bills and a budding defensive star in this league. He kept the Green Bay offense quiet last week with 8 targets on 5 receptions for 89 yards 0 TDs and shadowed Davante Adams for most of the afternoon, who was targeted 14 times on 8 receptions for 81 yards 0 TDs. White was able to hold Adams in check and he will line up across from Corey Davis this week. It’s very ironic what I just wrote about Davis up top, but it may be worth sitting Corey Davis this week and taming your expectations in this one.
- 2.Xavien Howard will line up across from AJ Green this weekend. I’m not telling you to sit AJ Green, but this will be an epic battle and Green may underperform in a tough matchup. Just saying.
- 3.Shaquill Griffin is allowing a 61.7% QB Rating in 4 games, which is 2nd in the NFL. The Seahawks will take on an explosive Los Angeles Rams offense on Sunday and will line up across Robert Woods. It’s very hard to sit any Rams receivers right now, but Woods is not matchup proof and may struggle early in this one. The Rams should win this one handedly, but Woods could be shut down.