When it comes to three-round cuts, cuts is pretty much moot. You lose the edge of getting 6/6 through the cut for a round and you can take more flyers with the benefit of getting an extra round. With that being said, last week stunk for our cash picks. No other way around it. In a mediocre field, the bigger names didn’t come through. Sure Jon Rahm won, but if you were playing him cash, you were taking some flyers.
Sneds was definitely the most heartbreaking where he didn’t get anything going until Saturday and missed the cut by one. He returns this week at the Farmers Insurance Open, up $1300 and will be a chalky play with his putting and history at Torrey Pines.
We go back to the two round cut, but this week we have to deal with two different courses at Torrey Pines in play to begin the week. The North Course is the easier of the two, having been redesigned last year while the South Course is the more iconic, well known and used in majors like Tiger’s US Open victory in 2008. Since everyone will play the same two courses and then get the South course all weekend, the advantage goes away come Saturday. My focus is going to be primarily on the South Course because I think everyone who should be in your cash lineup will do well on the North anyways.
Tony Finau, $8700 – Finau enters the tournament as third in my model over the last 36 holes and hasn’t missed a cut since the Players last year. He has the upside to win after finishing fourth last year and two top-25s the previous two years. The best news? No Bermuda greens here! Finau scores DK points (7th in last 24 rounds), hits approaches well (9th in last 24 SG: APP), and can use his length off the tee to take advantage of all holes.
Charley Hoffman, $7200 – Hoffman is a birdie machine, plays well on Poa greens and has no business being this low priced. He has made the cut in five of six starts at the Farmers including a seventh place finish in 2014. With the length in the par 4’s, he ranks 2nd in P4 efficiency from 450-500 yards, something really not found this low in the $7000s. He also ranks fifth in birdies or better in hitting difficult fairways.
Charles Howell III, $8300 – The Cali-kid returns to Torrey Pines where he has six straight made cuts include a runner-up finish last season, even though he struggled T2G and putted out of his mind. His form continues after finishing 20th last week and his price tag refuses to budge. He sits 2nd in DK points in his last eight rounds at the South Course and his course history just can’t be forgotten.
Shane Lowry, $8800 – Lowry won’t pop in stats, because his PGA Tour track record is limited but he’s 3-for-3 in cuts made at the Farmers and has made all three of his cuts at the pebble Beach Pro-Am, another multi-course by the ocean tournament. His last four starts were in Europe and he has a T2, T8 and two T12 so he makes an interesting case as an under the radar type of play.