Tom Brady – Top QB on the slate for me this week. This game should turn into a shootout. If it doesn’t it will be the surprise of the year. I know Brady is not on the main slate because he’s playing in the hammer game, but I wanted to involve him in my rankings because I enjoy playing the super flex format on fanduel. No kicker and no defense. To be honest I’m not sure why everyone doesn’t play this format.
Superflex price – 9800
Patrick Mahomes – No need to state the obvious. If you didn’t know he was a good play this week then stop playing.
Superflex price – 9900
side note – the prices for mahomes and Brady are significantly inflated due to the superflex format.
Andrew Luck – Luck is going to throw the ball at least 50 times a game for the rest of the year for 3 reasons. Number one, their defense is garbage. Number two, they can’t run the ball worth a shit because they concentrated on building up there O-line with pass blockers rather than run blockers in order to protect luck. Number three, he’s capable of throwing the ball 50 times a game and can still run a solid offense because he’s still really really good. The Jets are garbage at defending the pass and that’s all luck does is throw, at 7800 he’s by far my favorite mid tier QB.
8500 – superflex price
7800 – classic price
Russell Wilson – Wilson is a fantastic play this week against a terrible Raiders pass rush. If you give Wilson time to throw he’s almost unstoppable.
Superflex price – 8300
Classic price – 7600
Alex Smith – He sucks, but he’s in a good spot against the panthers. Probably not using him anywhere, but if you need the salary relief you could do a lot worse.
Superflex price – 7900
Classic price – 7400
TJ Yeldon 7100 – Great spot for Yeldon this week against the cowboys. He’s a must play for me in all formats. The Jags should destroy Dallas and Yeldon should be in for another heavy workload. Plus Bortles isn’t capable of throwing the ball accurately past 10 yards down the field and 10 yards down the field is yeldons territory. Cowboys actually defend the pass rather well, but there still garbage against the run.
Sony Mitchell and James white 7100 – Both equally priced, and both have a roll in there offense. Michell gets all the goaline work, and about 65% of the carries, but White gets almost all the passing down work. White has been averaging about 10 targets a game. In a game that I project will be a shootout, both backs are decent plays. I would definately go White on draftkings, but would strongly consider michell if he’s healthy enough to go on fanduel because of how often I think the pats will be near the goaline in this matchup. After re-watching this game and the way I think the gameflow will be White is the obvious choice for me on both fanduel and draftkings. Michell may get the goaline work, but White has scored in almost every game this year via the pass.
James Conner 8200 – Conner should be in for another heavy workload. I think people will be off of him this week because they’re facing a division rival. I think that Cinci defends the pass ok, but there still shaky at defending the run. I don’t think he’s a must play, but I do think he’s a solid top 5 RB this week.
Todd Gurley 9500 – Denver should be better at defending the run than they have been this season considering there personnel. With that said they simply haven’t been. Gurley is super expensive and that’s why he’s 3rd on my list, but if you can afford him, go for it. I will be fading Gurley do to pricing this week, but he’s by all standards an elite play in all formats.
Jordan Howard 6200 – Howard matches up well against Miami. I have to admit that Miami has surprised me this year on how well they have played defense. With that said I believe they have been playing above there heads and I think at Howard’s price he makes a lot of sense as a cash game or gpp play.
Mike Evans 8000 – Mike Evans is the only read Winston makes. If there able to run the ball at all I think Desean Jackson might get open on a deep ball off a play action pass, but your taking a huge chance with Winston at the helm. Priced at 8000 Evans should be a nice safe alternative to the higher priced wideouts. He gets a lot of the redzone looks and he’s normally targeted heavily. Facing a wounded Falcons defense he’s my top play at wide Receiver this week.
DeAndre Hopkins 9000 – Hopkins is a target monster and he’s starting to get the redzone looks that we loved last year as fantasy owners. They move him all around the field including the slot, so Im not worried about his matchup. He’s another guy that I will probably be fading due to price, but just like Gurley I think he’s a fine play if you can afford him.
Chester Rodgers 5700 – This guy is Hilton’s handcuff. Since Hilton has been out he’s averaged 11 targets. At his price point against a weak jets secondary I believe he is a fantastic play at his current price.
Julian Edelman 6900 – If I were playing draftkings Edelman might be a must play for me, but since he doesn’t get into the box all that often he’s my 4th choice at Receiver this week. Self explanatory as to why I like him this week. (Shootout vs the Chiefs, Brady’s safety blanky – target monster.)
Tight end has been tough to predict this year so I for one have been paying up. This week I believe you can do both.
Gronk 7900 – has underperformed this year, but the chiefs are one of the worst in the league at defending the tight end position. I think Gronk makes a great gpp play. I think for cash games you should should probably pay down due to some of the cheaper options on the slate. Either way I believe Gronk has the most upside on this particular slate and I really hope he’s low owned in my cash games because I will be fading him in cash.
Travis Kelce 7700 – Kelce barely grades out below Gronk due to matchup alone. But let’s be honest here, Kelce is the better player at this point in there respective careers, and bellichick can’t shut down the top option for mahomes because he has too many. I think Kelce is another fantastic option for cash and gpps if your comfortable with your lineup build.
C.J. Uzomah 5100 – this is my go to guy in cash this week. Steelers have allowed the most receptions to tight ends this year and Uzomah is the last man standing. The bengals throw to there tight ends about 10 total times a game and if Uzomah gets all those targets he could be in for a career night. The difference between playing Uzomah in cash vs Kelce and Gronk is simple. Gronk and Kelce both have to get in the box at least once to hit value where as Uzomah can hit value without getting a touchdown. Give me all the Uzomah shares in cash.
Austin Hooper 5600 – Hooper went off last week against the Steelers, but like I said in the Uzomah write up, that’s not saying much. With that said he gets another soft matchup against the Buccaneers who have given up the most fantasy points to tight ends this year. Not the most receptions like the Steelers, but the most points. That means the bucks defense is due for some positive regression at defending the position. Which is why this boom or bust tight end is 4th on my list.
Eric Ebron 6500 – Ebron has been banged up all year and the jets have done surprisingly well at defending the position this year. With that said if he’s healthy enough to get a full allotment of snaps he is still one of Lucks favorite targets with such a depleted receiving corps.
Cameron Brate 4500 – Not the best matchup on paper, but if Howard is ruled out he makes a nice punt play.
Erik Swoope 4700 – Plays for indi if you guys didn’t know. He’s a Gpp flier only in this one unless Ebron is ruled out. If Ebron is ruled out he moves up the board into Ebrons place. This guy is better at catching the ball than Ebron and if Ebron doesn’t get a full allotment of snaps which I think is the likely outcome this week, you could be the only guy who plays Swoope this week.