Welp, yesterday’s picks were pretty below average and that one was on me. Don Mitchell had his worse game to date, Deandre didn’t dominate the glass like he should, and it just wasn’t a good card. Today is a different story, so let’s goooo!
Dennis Schroder ($6,700)- Well aware we have some studs at the G spot today, but for the price, and the usage, we gotta like some Schroder tonight. Coming in at 29.6% usage rate in all home games this season, avg 110.0 OFFRTG, with 19.8 ppg, 2.9 rpg, 6.8 apg, 1.1 spg. His last 4 home games have seen a slight up-Tick in that usage rate as well settling at 31.1% over that span, good for top 5 in the guard range. Memphis has not done very well vs the PG spot, and now they have benched Tyreke until after the trade deadline to boot. They have allowed above average games to Fred VanVleet, Ish Smith, and Darren Collison recently, allowing double-digit scoring, at least 4 rebounds and assists, while also allowing at least 2 steals as well. In the lone game this season between these two, Schroder saw 31.6 usage, scored 18 points, 5 boards, 11 dimes, 2 steals and 1 swat.
Brandon Ingram ($6,900)- Believe his price is up for a reason tonight, and it could be because the Lakers are hosting the worse defensive team in the league, who are also without their best player. It doesn’t help that TJ Warren comes into tonight hoisting a pretty bad 116.1 DEFRTG in his last 6 road games. Ingram has seen a 23.5% usage in home games this season, avg 16.9 ppg, 5.8 rpg, 3.7 apg, and 0.9 bpg. He has also seen a slight up-tick in his usage over his last 6 at home with it rising to a 24.5% clip, as it seems he’s been running the point a bit more lately. This game sports the 3rd highest total on the board tonight, and Ingram has been decently successful against PHO this season in the 3 games played, avg 34.6 mpg, 16 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 2.3 apg, and 1.2 bpg.
Marc Gasol ($8,700)- If you notice the trend here, I’m working towards all low-owned players with nice potential upside. Gasol is no different, there are two C’s above him and I believe even at $9,500, Embiid should still see ownership, as on paper that match up is elite. Well, Gasol has a lovely match up as well here as ATL is allowing the MOST FPs on avg to the C spot over their L10 games, as well as the 2nd most on avg over their L5. Gasol has the highest usage on the game (other than Selden) since the sitting of Evans. Coming in at a modest 25.6% rate over the Grizz last 6 road travels, as well as notching over 40 FPs in his last 3 road games. ATL has given up some big games to the C spot in their last 3 home games as well, allowing at least 15 points and 12 boards to opposing Cs in that time. Gasol has managed to put up 16 or more FGAs in his last 3 road games, scoring at least 19 points in all 3 also.
DJ Augustin ($3,500)- And here’s the value play! Augustin has been playing pretty well this season. Carrying an admirable 21.4% usage rate in his last 4 at home with a very nice 16.8 PIE (highest of bench players over span), with a 111.1 OFFRTG on an avg of close to 22 mpg. He’s seen at least 20 mins in his last 5 games, and managed to produce 21.5 FPs or more in his last 4 of 6 contests. In his lone game vs Cavs at home earlier in the season, he was able to put up 23.8 FPs over 25 minutes with 9 points, 1 board, 7 dimes, and a steal. It’s strictly a value/salary saver play here, and you DONT have to play him if you don’t like it!
There you have it! Good luck tonight everyone! Let’s chat in the #SDSlackChat later today!!