It feels like an eternity since I wrote up an article, but here we go again! Its Wednesday and we have a shot at $100k first place prized GPP on DraftKings, if you are into that sort of thing. I will take a chance or two in it tonight, and hope I can be a bit different, while still hitting the highly-noted players. Let’s get down to it…
Dame Lillard ($8,500)– With both Russ and Harden sitting atop the PG list, as well as the fact that Dame is hosting the Spurs tonight in Portland, I think this should be a decently lower than usual ownership spot for Lillard. This price seems very cheap on Dame tonight, especially for a guy that has fantasy point totals of 53, 53, and 50.8 in his last three home contests, so to say he has been on fire on his home court is a bit of an understatement, and we will thank DK for the pricing. Let’s also mention Dame owns the 7th highest usage percentage for the G spot in the NBA at the moment at 30.3%, playing an average of 37.4 minutes per game on average, while notching averages of 24.9 ppg, 5.5 rpg, and 6.9 apg. I get they are facing the Spurs, who are el numero uno when it comes to defense, and I understand Pop has rested guys lately, but they are still allowing the 4th most FPs on average to the PG spot over their last 5 games, and they are on the road tonight.
TyFreak Evans ($7,000)– Sorry for once again breaking the under $6K salary marker here for the second PG pick, but you really have to like Evans tonight facing the Warriors. With the Warriors missing some pieces still such as Steph, and Dray being questionable still, it could make this game very interesting being at the Oracle. The Grizzlies don’t exactly carry that same low-scoring affair when they go on the road, playing many 220+ total games against teams like GS, and Houston on the road, so I do like the idea of Evans tonight even at $7K. The Warriors are allowing the 2nd most FPs on average to the PG spot over their last 5, so no Curry really shows. Evans is carrying a pretty nice 27.7 usage % on the season with the Grizz, averaging 30.7 mpg as well, while scoring over 22 real points in 4 of his last 5 and going over 33 FPs in those as well.
James Harden ($11,000)– Like we could go a slate without a Harden or Russ roster spot, not happening. Harden has the ideal match-up tonight vs the Lakers, as they will be without the services of KCP due to him being a hostage of the state of California for the next month or two. So, Mr. #1 usage (35.7%) gets the nod as my high-priced pay up for the night easily. Harden did notch 58.5 FPs in his last meeting with the Lakers earlier this season when they did have KCP, with a line of 36 points, 4 rebounds, 9 dimes, and 2 steals.
Mario Hezonja ($4,700)– With Aaron Gordon now out not because of a concussion, but a calf strain in which he was ruled out a day ahead, implements that he could be seeing a few more games on the side-lines, and since he has been out, Hezonja has been taking full advantage of his spot-starts. Have to love this cheap price on him tonight, as he gets a nice match up with the Bulls who are allowing the 4th most FPs on average to the PF spot over the course of the season, as well as the 7th most over their last 5 games. Hezonja has played 31, 31, and 35 minutes in 3 of his last 4, all in which were results of no Gordon, but also was able to produce very nicely with 2 of those games going over 42 fantasy points.
Harrison Barnes ($6,700)– Yes, I like Durant tonight, who doesn’t? I just can’t put two $11K+ guys on here, knowing they won’t easily be fit into a comfy lineup construction, so of course I like Durant and will be playing him. However, besides KD, I really like some Barnes tonight, and this dude never shows up with ownership, but has been really good lately. Grabbing a nice usage rate of 24.9% on his home floor, playing 35.9 minutes per game on average there as well, makes me empty a roster spot for him tonight. He doesn’t get the best match-up (4th most FPs on average to the SF over the season), but we have been fading that DET 3-spot for a good while now, and I think Barnes will be fine. Some useless info, Barnes this year against the East averages: 21.8 ppg, 7.6 rpg, 2.3apg, while averaging a whopping 37.2 minutes per game also. His last 3 of 5 homes games have resulted in 38 or more fantasy points of more as well.
Joe Ingles ($5,000)– OKC has not been getting it done when it comes to guarding the SF spot, as they are allowing the MOST FPs on average to the spot over their last 5 contests, and this hasn’t been a new trend. Ingles has been shooting the ball really well this season with a field goal % of 48.7 and a 3-pt % a smidge over 50% on the road, makes Ingles a very viable option tonight at his price, and he will not be owned at all. Throw this in with the fact that in the 2 games Utah has faced the Thunder this season, Ingles saw his highest usage % of 22.2%, averaged 30.7 minutes per game, while also averaging 17.5 ppg, 2.5 rpg, and 3.0 apg. Not gaudy numbers by any means, but if you are looking for differentiation, as well as a very nice value play, Ingles looks like a nice play.
Niko Mirotic ($6,400)– How can you fade this guy right now? Last 2 home contests over 47 fantasy points, even with his last game only resulting in 26 minutes on the floor and 44.8 FPS???? WHAT. Scoring over 20 real points in all 4 games since his return. So, yea, I am sure he will be popular tonight, this PF line-up is not very pretty tonight, and to be honest, I’m not in love with the price rise and especially now since Markkanen is back and starting, but for the production lately, gotta ride the hot hand. He is also riding a smooth 27.4 usage % since returning for the Bulls, but it’s a micro sample to pull from, but it shows how much he produces when on the floor. No Aaron Gordon tonight also could be a nice factor as well.
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson ($6,100)– Another guy who I know will not be owned, but brings lovely value to tonight’s roster construction with a very workable price is RHJ. Getting the Kings on a B2B who stole a win in Philly last night, this could be a great spot for the Nets to catch them off guard early and I already like the spot for RHJ. His last 4 of 5 at home have resulted in 31 fantasy points or more. Also, RHJ is seeing 29.7 minutes per game at home on average with a modest 22.2 usage rate, as well as averaging 15.5 ppg, 6.7 rpg, and 2.0 apg. So, with all this said, I think he is a great tournament play, helps in building a nice balanced LU, and could easily get you 30+ FPs tonight.
Nikola Jokic ($8,100)– Most will look at this minutes over the Nuggs last 2 and say, well he is only playing 25 minutes, but wait, he did get a 3 minutes bump after his initial return, and if anyone has looked, he is only averaging 28.1 minutes per game on the season anyways, so I fully expect Jokic to see around 28 minutes or so tonight and hopefully more if need be. Minnesota is back to allowing the MOST FPs on average to the C spot as they have over their last 5 games. Jokic in his 28.1 mins per game average is also averaging a 22.1 usage %, with 16.2 ppg, 11.2 rpg, and 5.5 apg, so I would hope we see some triple-double looks and watching for the big guy tonight back at home in DEN.
Alex Len ($5,600)– I really do hate putting any Suns big in my articles, but damn it, hopefully we are seeing a trend here. Len has played 28 minutes in both of his last 2 contests, and has also notched double-doubles in them as well. His last 3 fantasy point totals? 31.5, 50.3, and 39. The Clippers are allowing the 4th most FPs on average to the C spot on the season, and the 8th most FPs on average over their last 5 games, so Len is worth a look tonight for a roster spot. I also want to note that Julius Randle, my boy, is going to see more minutes in the upcoming games due to BroLo being side-lined for about 3 weeks, but he isn’t in the greatest spot against HOU, but it should be a higher-paced game, so don’t sleep on him either at $5,400!!
THAT’S ALL, FOLKS!