Howdy, Hidey! Post super-bowl hangovers are always fun! Hope you guys enjoyed the game though, and are back ready to get some NBA DFS fired back up, as we are presented a 7-game slate on this Monday! Let’s dive in…
Don Mitchell ($7,100)– still slapped with the Q-tag, but I have good mind that he should play tonight as it just says an illness, which kept him out of Saturday’s game against the Spurs, so he’s had a couple days to recover. Now, this is a real nice spot for Mitchell tonight as well, as the Pelicans are allowing the MOST FPs on average to the PG spot on the season as we know, as well as the 3rd most on average over their L5 games. Don has carried some very nice usage in his last 5 road games at 31.3%. He is a major part of this offense, and he usually carries the team, so I wouldn’t expect any less tonight. His last 4 of 5 road games have resulted in 32 FPs or more, and he’s played well over 30 mins. In 2 games vs NO earlier in the season, Don saw an average of 34.6% usage!, with also an avg of 118 OFFRTG, avg 37.5 mpg, and 32.5 ppg, 3.5 rpg, and 3.0 apg, with a modest 63.7 TS%.
Zach Lavine ($6,600)– Lavine has been the go-to for the Bulls since the Dunn injury, and they are also still without Markkanen. Lavine has been eating up the usage, 32.0% rate over L5 road games, with an avg of 24.0 mpg, BUT we saw him get 31 mins in their last game! That’s great news for us, because his price is still very accommodating for his usage/production/upside! 33 and 41.8 FPs in his last 2, obviously show his tremendous upside potential with the extra mins of floor-time. Lavine has now scored over 20 real points in his last 3 road games, and in 5 road games this season, he’s avg 18.4 ppg, 6.0 rpg, 2.4 apg, and 0.9 spg.
Blake Griffin ($8,500)– where everyone will be flooding to AD tonight, we can take the cheaper route with Griff here. Griffin hasn’t really missed a tick since joining the Pistons. Playing 35 and 37 mins in his first 2, garnering a 27.5 usage rate, with a 117.5 OFFRTG. Taking plenty of FGA’s with 19 and 12 so far in those 2 as well, so the opportunities are still absolutely there and will be. I believe POR strong point is their guard defense and their C defense, and it shows a little as POR is allowing the 8th most FPs to the PF spot over on avg over their L5 games, and the 7th most to the spot over their last 10 contests. Already putting up 39 and 50 FPs in those two games as well, it shows the Pistons want him to be their guy along side Drummond, and the match up tonight favors Griff in my opinion.
Deandre Jordan ($7,600)– Forever fading Dallas at the C spot, even though the Mavs will more than likely go big with Mejri, that doesn’t exactly scare me any off DJ here tonight. Jordan has been a beast in home games this season, and he has pulled down double-digit boards in his last 6 at the Staples Center. With two 50 FP games in his last 5 home games, and the rest at least netting 34 FPs or more, I think a 43-46+ FP game is definitely in the works tonight. Dallas is allowing the 3rd most FPs on avg to the C spot over the duration of the season so far, as well as the 3rd most on avg over their L5. In 2 games vs DAL this season, Jordan saw a nice usage avg of 18.3% (only 14.5% in all home games), with a 127.0 OFFRTG, a massive 73.9 TS%, with an avg of 13.5 ppg, 13.0 rpg, and 1.5 bpg.
So, this is my base at the current time for my DK builds tonight! I wish you well and the best of luck!