Hey guys, tonight’s five game slate is disgusting. I really do not like it at all. If you’re on limited bank roll I wouldn’t think fading it is ridiculous. But nevertheless, the show must go on. There are a ton of studs available but there is one problem: there is almost 0 value. Sure Russ might go for 60, but if the cheap guy you get gets 10 it negates any advantage. I will do stud standings but I am most likely not playing them. I also do not feel comfortable playing the Cavs additions just yet. They are definitely viable in tournaments because of price but I want to see how their minutes shake out first. If you’re risk loving, they can provide value.
- Russell Westbrook $20,900: He is currently questionable but participated in shoot-around and the spread is low so I would say he is expected to play. He torched the Cavs earlier this year so I wouldn’t be surprised to see the same.
- Lebron James $21,000: I had a tough time ranking between Giannis and Lebron, Giannis’ matchup is far easier but Lebron’s is more competitive. It’s a toss up.
- Giannis Antetokounmpo $20,500: See above.
- James Harden $20,300: He will be guarded by Jimmy Butler and I just think if I’m going up I’d rather have a better matchup.
This was easily the toughest time I’ve had picking guards in a while. It was like pulling teeth trying to find one I liked for the price. Middleton and Bledsoe are meh at that price and I never feel super comfortable with De’Aaron Fox. Here is what I ended up with.
Chris Paul $16,800: I won’t end up playing him most likely. Minnesota is 5th worst vs PG over the last 4 weeks and he put up 47 FP in 35 minutes against them earlier. However, he is averaging 4.2 FP less on the road (41.8) and I think Jokic could score around the same with some savings. He could definitely go off though if you want exposure to that game.
Dennis Schroder $13,100: I definitely don’t LOVE him but I like him. He has big usage and averages 33.3 FPPG on the road. He has over 30 FP in his last 8 games as well. MIL is good vs PG but he put up 41 FP in 35 minutes against them earlier this year.
Will Barton $12,300: I never normally play him but he kind of fell into my lap as I was building my lineup. He has a solid game log and sees good minutes. With Murray on the floor he sees 0.92 FPPM and 0.97 with him off, he is viable regardless but gets a boost with him off. Not a lot of solid guards so I like him.
Bogdan Bogdanovic $10,000: Now you see why I said this is like pulling teeth. 99% of days he would never end up in my write up but here we are. He has seen good minutes lately and just put up 30.75 FP on the road vs MIN. He is normally worse on the road but that is good to see. DAL is middle of the pack vs SG so I’m praying for 25 FP and we can move on. He has highest floor of people in that price range.
Nikola Jokic $16,000: He is averaging 44.3 FPPG at home. In 2 games vs the Spurs, he is averaging 32.2 minutes and 40.5 FP. Without Aldridge and with them on a back to back, I anticipate the Spurs to be sluggish leaving Jokic to feast down low.
Karl Anthony Towns $15,900: 65, 70, 61, 67. Those are the totals of fantasy points Towns has scored in his last 4 matchups with Houston. He is averaging 47 FPPG at home and Houston is 4th worst vs C over the last 4 weeks. Close spread, I at least anticipate his normal 47.
Steven Adams $12,500: Model of consistency, especially at home. Adams is averaging 33.3 FPPG at home this year. He put up 42 FP in 29 minutes vs CLE earlier this year. Also without Kevin Love, Thompson will stay more under the basket allowing for more rebounds. He has a great floor tonight.
Dwight Powell $10,900: In 2 games vs SAC this year, he is averaging 20.6 FP in 20.3 minutes. The good news is he is seeing around 30 minutes in his recent games. Dirk is also questionable so that would give him a boost. He has been very good lately and with not a ton of value he helps save some salary.
Davis Bertans $9,300: Denver has been middle of the pack vs PF recently. Aldridge is out and he has filled in nicely as of late. He sees 0.91 FPPM and will probably see close to 30 minutes making him a solid value play I feel comfortable rostering unlike most of the others.
WARNING: If Russ for some reason sits, Paul George will again see massive usage in a good matchup. I don’t love him at his price with Russ in but without he is definitely worth a look.
This is the least comfortable I have been with my lineup in a long time. As I said above, this isn’t a bad night to play less or play tournaments and take a few risks. However, hopefully we continue to cash. That is all I have for you tonight guys, best of luck!