UFC 228 Betting and DFS Preview
Aljamain Sterling (15-3) vs. Cody Stamann (17-1)
I think Cody Stamann is being overlooked here, and while Aljamain Sterling will enjoy a sizeable reach advantage, I really think Stamman has the grappling advantage. One thing I really like about the Grand Valley State product is his cardio and ability to win close fights. Sterling’s mental makeup has been questioned at times, and I just think Stamann is the better fighter here with a really bright future. Fight IQ is huge, and it will be evident in this one.
Cody Stamann (+113) via unanimous decision
Abdul Razak Alhassan (9-1) vs. Niko Price (12-1)
I was honestly shocked when I saw Price as a dog here. Al-Hassan has some power, there’s no question, but I think Price is the better striker with better cardio. Price has shown he can win a fight anywhere, and can never be counted out. Price is the more well-rounded fighter here and his resume just tells me he should be the favorite. Price just has more paths to victory, and the price is right at plus money for me.
Niko Price (+110) via 2nd round KO
Nicco Montano (4-2) vs. Valentina Shevchenko (15-3)
Valentina is better everywhere, and while Nico Montano might put up a good fight, I expect the well-rounded Shevchenko to wear down Montano and win by stoppage in the 4th round. If you want to take a shot with the underdog, then it’s your money. This is a total mismatch and Valentina is pretty much the champion in waiting and is one of the top female pound-for-pound fighters in the world.
Valentina Shevchenko via 4th rd TKO
Tyron Woodley (18-3-1) vs. Darren Till (17-0-1)
Finally, Tyron Woodley is defending his title, and his opponent is a guy that the UFC is grooming to be the next big thing. I think it’s pretty obvious what the UFC wants. They want the young scouser Darren Till to be one of the faces of the UFC. Does Till deserve the shot? Some say yes, some say no, but many say that he didn’t even win his last contest in a fight he didn’t even make weight in.
Tyron Woodley is an extremely well-rounded fighter, his speed is second to none, his wrestling is superb and he has the power to put any fighters lights out. Till’s striking is also excellent, and he definitely exudes the confidence of a champion. I do however favor Woodley in this matchup based on experience and the fact that Woodley is a smart fighter. His track record against southpaws can’t be ignored. Till is the bigger guy, but you have to wonder how the weight cut will go for him. I disagree with the line move here, and I can honestly say a lot of it is based on hype. Till will be a champion soon, just not this soon.
Tyron Woodley via unanimous decision
Draft Kings Bargains
Tatiana Suarez $9200 – I know I know, is $9200 a bargain? I think many will have Zabit and Valentina in their lineups and I think Andrade will be popular too…Suarez might be the one that gets the most points out of all of them…She is the real deal and should take care of business against Esparza.
Darren Stewart $7300 – Darren is a live dog against Byrd, and I think he’s getting better each time we’ve seen him. If he can keep it standing he can pay dividends.
Jim Miller $7600 – He might be high owned but he should be favored. You can never count a vet like Miller out.
Cody Stamann $7700 – I think he wins as stated above, so he’ll be in a lineup or two, definitely more than capable of paying off that price tag.
Niko Price $7900 – I’ll say it again, the price is right!
Best of luck this weekend! You can follow me on Twitter @S_D_MMA