UFC Fight Night 136 Betting and DFS Preview
Merab Dvalishvili (7-4) vs Terrion Ware (17-8)
I was considering taking a shot with Ware at this number, and I do think he has a significant advantage on the feet, but the relentless pressure and takedowns that Dvalishvili brings will be the difference in this fight. Ware has a shot but I think Dvalishvili’s wrestling and grappling will win the rounds.
Merab Dvalishvili via unanimous decision
Petr Yan (9-1) vs Jin Soo Son (9-2)
Yan was slated to take on Douglas de Silva de Andrade but Andrade was forced out with an injury. If you have a chance to watch Petr Yan, who made his octagon debut a few months back against Teruto Ishihara and thoroughly dominated him. Yan will win via KO…and he should be -1500 in my opinion.
Petr Yan via 1st round KO
Adam Yandiev (9-0) vs Jordan Johnson (9-0)
Most have never heard of Adam Yandiev. The Russian hasn’t fought in 3 years, but he’s 9-0 and those 9 wins have all been inside the distance. Johnson is a former division one wrestler that is also 9-0 and has wins in the UFC over Adam Milstead, Marcel Fortuna, and Henrique da Silva, all via unanimous decision. Johnson opened up a -175 favorite but now is -250 or so. I disagree with this move, and I feel that Yandiev’s judo background will be enough to counter Johnson’s wrestling. I wouldn’t be the least nit surprised if Yandiev gets the finish either. This will also be Johnson’s first fight at middleweight, so the weight cut might be a factor. Granted, Yandiev has fought mostly at 205 but has fought at 185 and with his absence I don’t think the weight cut will be a factor. I don’t think Johnson should be this big of a favorite, and I don’t think he will have the success like he’s had in the past against the Russian who will be fighting in his home town. I’ll take Yandiev for the upset win.
Adam Yandiev (+220) via 2nd round submission
Jan Blachowicz (22-7) vs Nikita Krylov (25-5)
The last time we saw Nikita Krylov in the octagon he had suffered a loss via submission to Misha Cirkunov back in December of 2016. Since then Krylov has won 4 in a row on the regional scene and makes his return against Poland’s Jan Blachowicz. Blachowicz has won 3 in a row over Jimi Manuwa, Jared Cannonier, and Devin Clark. The Polish veteran is currently ranked #4 in the light-heavyweight division yet he is the underdog. Krylov has improved since his first UFC stint, and I know that’s easy to say against lower competition. What many don’t realizer is that krylov is still young, and I think the break from the UFC was good for him, and I think he makesa his second stint a meaningful one. On the feet I believe Krylov is by far the more technical striker. Both fighters have a respectable ground game, but Krylov actually has more submission wins. I think there’s a reason why this line opened up a pick em, Krylov is making a return to the Octagon and facing the #4 guy yet the money is coming in on Krylov. I think Krylov is just a bad matchup for Blachowicz and I think the volume that Krylov brings gives Blachowicz a lot of problems.
Nikita Krylov via 3rd round TKO
Mark Hunt (13-12-1) vs Aleksei Oleinik (56-11-1)
The way I see this fight going is Hunt keeping this on the feet and eventually wearing down Oleinik and knocking him out in the 2nd or 3rd round. Hunt is too smart of a fighter and he’s actually not the worst scrambler in the world which was evident against Curtis Blaydes. Oleinik will try to smother him against the fence and taker him down but Hunt’s fight IQ and low center of gravity will make that difficult for the much taller Oleinik. I think this is just a bad matchup for the Russian and see Hunt getting another knockout.
Mark Hunt via 3rd rd KO
Draft Kings Bargains
Hopefully I helped out last weekend, as Suarez, Miller and Stewart all did really well. I won some cash but I had too much Niko Price which costed me. Let’s get some this weekend!
Magomed Ankalaev $9100 – People might be a little scared to take Ankalaev after his last fight against Craig. That’s all fine with me, instead of paying $9600 for Yan I’ll take Ankalaev because he should totally run through Prachnio. I also think many will take a shot with Prachnio at $7100…I’m sure Ankalaev has learned from his past mistakes and will get the job done.
Terrion Ware $7300 – I do think the likelihood of Ware winning is slim, but if you’re playing multiple lineups Ware is at a nice price. Dvalishvili has been known to make some questionable decisions and it’s possible Ware could capitalize.
Nikita Krylov $8200 – See above why I like Krylov, he is very capable of scoring 90 or more.
Adam Yandiev $7500 – $7500 for a guy fighting in his backyard and is 9-0, all via TKO or submission. Yandiev will be in some of my lineups.
Best of luck this weekend! You can follow me on Twitter @S_D_MMA